Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 6.802903 7.875416 9.024016 10.341325 11.805946 13.379978 15.195007
2025-03-30 5.250616 6.702128 8.373329 10.422139 12.847657 15.608853 18.970089
2025-04-06 3.919521 5.506815 7.466100 10.021407 13.221955 17.052794 21.935266
2025-04-13 2.924140 4.520171 6.628574 9.543522 13.387604 18.198668 24.580133
2025-04-20 2.477442 4.160857 6.516909 9.934962 14.633205 20.723110 29.053102
2025-04-27 2.241093 4.047576 6.704713 10.718549 16.426618 24.037525 34.705177
2025-05-04 1.995328 3.869891 6.762605 11.302060 17.964013 27.078331 40.136521
2025-05-11 1.676842 3.513536 6.496485 11.367233 18.749236 29.113885 44.291087
2025-05-18 1.351159 3.078617 6.041019 11.082051 18.976963 30.353915 47.377789
2025-05-25 1.096020 2.716409 5.648011 10.838416 19.222569 31.599931 50.492066
2025-06-01 0.916919 2.461343 5.398259 10.789109 19.741152 33.241412 54.207459
2025-06-08 0.761666 2.219895 5.136157 10.683622 20.146940 34.713354 57.711046
2025-06-15 0.699424 2.175572 5.245539 11.246549 21.692703 38.018564 64.109289
2025-06-22 0.599805 2.021322 5.121045 11.379346 22.534672 40.279501 69.037585
2025-06-29 0.469422 1.754071 4.727702 10.975697 22.437644 41.060483 71.747749
2025-07-06 0.357418 1.497285 4.311138 10.476464 22.127525 41.470414 73.883491
2025-07-13 0.324129 1.457877 4.368263 10.906232 23.478603 44.614118 80.375153
2025-07-20 0.318183 1.502555 4.624224 11.754408 25.624208 49.133246 89.162149
2025-07-27 0.299655 1.501249 4.770068 12.384867 27.398939 53.093104 97.165309
2025-08-03 0.255607 1.398366 4.654156 12.456725 28.140194 55.347080 102.499086
2025-08-10 0.202769 1.241284 4.375414 12.151141 28.147741 56.351771 105.835237
2025-08-17 0.161052 1.106817 4.130159 11.889668 28.214452 57.446687 109.334340
2025-08-24 0.132993 1.015805 3.985878 11.836952 28.675201 59.227334 113.994184